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Mortgage Rates Forecast: Housing Market Predictions for 2024

elinorr
Elinor Rozenvasser Updated: December 5, 2023 • 3 min read
getting the keys to your newly bought home

Key Points:

  • The current low housing inventory gives sellers a strong position in the market.

  • High mortgage rates combined with steep home prices are making many potential buyers hesitant.

  • A potential decrease in rates in 2024 could energize the market, benefiting both buyers and sellers.

As we approach 2024, the housing market continues to be a topic of intense interest and speculation. With a mix of high mortgage rates, fluctuating home prices, and varying inventory levels, the market is poised for a year of significant changes. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for prospective home buyers, sellers, and investors.

Let’s explore expert forecasts for 2024, examining key trends and their potential impacts on the housing market.

Rising Mortgage Rates and Their Impact

The median sale price of homes in the U.S. hit $394,300 in September 2023, marking the third consecutive month of year-over-year price increases. As of early November, the average rate for a 30-year mortgage stood at 7.69 percent. While no longer surpassing 8 percent, it's still near the highest in two decades.

Interest rates offered by mortgage lenders have been on a steady upward course, with a 30-year fixed mortgage rate reaching 7.76% as of November 2023.

One of the most notable trends for 2024 is the continued rise in mortgage rates. As reported by Business Insider and Rocket Mortgage, interest rates offered by mortgage lenders have been on a steady upward course, with a 30-year fixed mortgage rate reaching 7.76% as of November 2023.

This increase in rates is expected to continue into 2024, influencing both buyers and sellers. Higher rates generally lead to a cooling effect on market activity, as they increase the cost of borrowing and potentially sideline potential buyers.

Mortgage Rates 30-YEAR vs. 15-YEAR

Inventory and Home Prices

The cost of homes is also a key factor shaping the 2024 housing market. According to Rocket Mortgage, housing inventory is crucial in determining market dynamics. If there is more supply than demand, it's typically a buyer's market, leading to potential short-term and long-term price drops. Inventory and home prices are factors that need to be considered when predicting the home loan rate expectations in 2024.

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Contrarily, less inventory generally favors sellers, keeping prices high. Forbes' analysis emphasizes the need for increased inventories of homes for sale to alleviate pressure on home prices within the housing market future. The current scarcity, especially in the entry-level category, continues to support high prices and demand. You know what that means - housing affordability is in the gutter, and real estate agents are looking pretty bored these days.

Mortgage Rates Predictions and AI

The integration of artificial intelligence in the housing industry is set to reshape the home shopping and selling experience in 2024. Zillow predicts that advancements in AI will make things simpler, providing more insights into home financing and improving the overall experience for buyers and sellers.

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2024: Buyer's vs. Seller's Market

The housing market's status as a buyer's or seller's market largely depends on inventory levels. In some regions, the market may shift towards buyers if inventory increases, potentially due to rising interest rates leading to more homes staying on the market longer. However, this varies significantly by location, and some areas may continue to experience a seller's market.


Mortgage Forecast Related Articles


While inventory levels may shift, budgeting smartly when buying a home remains a critical issue, especially for first-time buyers. Forbes highlights the mounting affordability challenges faced by potential homebuyers. The rising costs of starter homes make it increasingly difficult for new entrants to the market. Addressing these concerns is essential for a healthy and affordable housing market.

Navigating the 2024 Housing Market

While predictions for the 2024 housing market vary, the question stands: will mortgage rates go down in 2024? Real estate market predictions point at mortgage rates, inventory levels, home prices, and technological advancements will all play a role in shaping the market. As predictions spread, despite the challenges, a full-fledged housing market crash is unlikely, though adjustments in specific markets are possible.

For those looking to navigate this dynamic market, staying informed and prepared is key. Understanding the trends and how they might impact your personal and financial situation is crucial for making informed decisions. Whether you're a first-time buyer, a seller, or an investor, adjusting to the market's growing landscape will be key in 2024.

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The Bottom Line

As you prepare for the 2024 housing market, making use of the best tools can provide you with the information you need. By comparing mortgage rates, lender reviews, and other financial services, Lendstart can help you make informed decisions suited to your unique circumstances.

Stay ahead of the curve and equip yourself with the best resources as you embark on your housing market journey in 2024. Be sure to explore all of your options as you prepare for the future of real estate.

faq-icon

Will U.S. house prices go down in 2024?

house prices are expected to rise by 3 to 4 percent.

What is the mortgage rate forecast for the next 5 years?

Mortgage rates are influenced by multiple factors, including economic growth, inflation, monetary policy, and global market trends. Projections over a 5-year period can vary widely

Is 2024 a good year to buy a house?

2024 might be a more favorable year for buyers compared to 2023, with more homes available.

What is the 30 year mortgage prediction for 2024?

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is forecasted to fall below 7% in early 2024 and reach about 6.2% by the end of the year

What is a good mortgage rate?

A "good" mortgage rate can vary depending on several factors, including the current economic climate, the type of mortgage, your credit score, down payment, and the length of the loan.

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Elinor Rozenvasser is a content writer and editor with a knack for finance. She holds a Bachelor's in Communications and Business from Reichman University, and has been swimming alongside finance specialists for over a decade. She's not your typical financial writer, though. She's more likely to use witty puns and sarcasm than jargon and technical terms. But don't let that fool you. She's still a whiz when it comes to explaining complex financial concepts in a way that anyone can understand. If there's any writer who can make finance fun and engaging, Elinor is your girl. She's sure to leave you laughing (and learning) long after you've finished reading her work.